I have made piglins initiate combat with hoglins and wither skeletons, and it seems to happen less than 2% of the time for each victory. This is made a lot rarer considering that piglins don't fight hoglins very often. I bet I could explore the Nether and raid enough bastions to get all netherite gear without mining for ancient debris before I see a piglin dance.
Note that me using wither skeletons to test this may have made it seem rarer than it actually was.
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So apparently it's a hunting dance? I think the fact that I used wither skeletons made it seem even rarer than it actually was. If this is intended, is this dance only appearing after hunting hoglins also intended?
Probably WAI as per https://twitter.com/henrikkniberg/status/1264872634581385217